Gujarat City Wise Exit Poll 2022

Gujarat City Wise Exit Poll 2022  - The exit polls of various agencies have again predicted a majority for the BJP in the state. The exit poll results were announced after the second and final phase of voting was completed in the state on Monday. According to most of the agencies, the BJP is estimated to get 118 to 150 seats, while the Congress is estimated to get 16 to 51 seats and the Aam Aadmi Party 2 to 13 seats. In it, BJP is predicted to achieve a record-breaking victory. Divya Bhaskar also conducted an exit poll on this election, in which the results are showing some contrast and the BJP does not seem to achieve a record breaking victory.

In addition to Bhaskar's 100 journalists, on 182 seats, five journalists-experts-political workers each from taluka-district knew their vote. From this, it is estimated that BJP will get 102-112 seats in the exit poll prepared by Bhaskar. So Congress is likely to get 59-69 seats, AAP 3-5 and others 5-8 seats.

 

Gujarat City Wise Exit Poll 2022

Bhaskar has not done zone wise but seat wise exit poll

As many exit polls as you may have seen since the evening of December 5 till now, you will get state-wide or zone-wise information, while this poll from Bhaskar will tell you who will win and who will lose in your district and your seat. Most importantly, Bhaskar brings to you the reason for defeat or victory.

BJP will reverse 2017 in Saurashtra-Kutch

Zone wise, Saurashtra-Kutch has 54 seats. In 2017, in Saurashtra-Kutch, BJP got 23 seats and Congress got 30, while NCP got one seat, but this time, BJP's performance in Saurashtra-Kutch has improved, while Congress' performance has been poor. In 2022, BJP can get 28-31 seats while Congress can get 20-24 seats and Aam Aadmi Party has also opened an account this time. Aam Aadmi Party is winning 1-2 seats.

Who will rise in North Gujarat and who will fall behind?

North Gujarat has seen a real election war this time, in which many factors, from the cast factor, have played an important role, and the results are likely to fluctuate widely. In 2017, out of 32 seats in North Gujarat, BJP got 14 seats and Congress got 18 seats. This time too, BJP's performance in North Gujarat has worsened. BJP is likely to get 12-15 seats and Congress 15-17 seats in 2022, while the Aam Aadmi Party has only managed to garner votes in North Gujarat.

Who is showing courage in South Gujarat?

Now let's talk about the tribal belt of South Gujarat. After playing an important role in bringing the BJP to power over the years, the BJP's position in South Gujarat seems to have deteriorated and the Congress is also getting hit harder. However, the main reason behind it seems to be Aam Aadmi Party and others. In 2017, out of total 35 seats, BJP got 25 seats and Congress got 10 seats. While this time BJP is likely to get 23-25 ​​and Congress 6-8 seats. While Aam Aadmi Party is likely to get 2-3 and others 3-4 seats. Like in Saurashtra, Aam Aadmi Party seems to be spoiling the game of BJP-Congress in the south too.

Who is playing the field in Central Gujarat and whose map will be cleared?

The results of BJP's stronghold of Central Gujarat, which includes Ahmedabad, Anand, Kheda, Mahisagar, Panchmahal, Dahod, Vadodara, Chotaudepur, could also be shocking. Talking about 2017, out of total 61 seats, BJP got 37 seats, Congress got 22 seats and others got 2 seats. While 2022 BJP is getting a very modest advantage. This time out of 61 seats BJP can get 39 to 41, Congress 18-20 while others can get 2-3 seats. While Aam Aadmi Party is seen here only in the role of cutting votes. Ahmedabad has been an intact vote bank of BJP for years. This time Ahmedabad district is likely to gain 2 to 4 seats.

 

ઉત્તર ગુજરાતની તમામ 32 સીટોના એક્ઝિટ પોલ વાંચવા અહીં ક્લિક કરો

મધ્ય ગુજરાતની તમામ 61 સીટોના એક્ઝિટ પોલ વાંચવા અહીં ક્લિક કરો

દક્ષિણ ગુજરતાની તમામ 35 સીટોના એક્ઝિટ પોલ વાંચવા અહીં ક્લિક કરો

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર-કચ્છની તમામ 54 સીટોના એક્ઝિટ પોલ વાંચવા અહીં ક્લિક કરો 

 

Republic mark gave BJP 148 seats

The Republic P mark shows the BJP likely to get between 128 and 148 seats, while the Congress is likely to get between 30 and 42 seats. Aam Aadmi Party can get barely 2 to 10 seats, while three seats go to independents. According to the figures released today by Republic P Mark, if the BJP gets 148 seats, it can break the record set by Narendra Modi when he was the Chief Minister.

India Today concluded that BJP will get 129 to 151 seats. When the India Today Group gave the exit poll in 2017, it predicted BJP to get 99 seats and actually BJP got only 99 seats. This time, India Today has predicted that the BJP will get a whopping 129 to 151 seats. On the other hand, Congress got 77 seats last time in 2017, but this time it is predicted that it will get barely half of the seats. Congress is predicted to get 16 to 30 seats and Aam Aadmi Party 9 to 21 seats, while independents are expected to get 6 seats.


Key points of the 2022 exit polls

ABP-C Water
 

  • ABP's exit poll, conducted in collaboration with Sea Voter, polled 30,000 voters in 182 Vibhan Sabha seats, with a margin of error of plus-minus 3 percent.
  • Vote share in ABP South Gujarat 48 percent BJP, 23 percent Congress, 27 percent AAP, 2 percent others
  • According to ABP vote share of North Gujarat 21-25 seats BJP, 6-10 Congress, 0-1 AAP, 0-2 others
  • According to ABP, out of 54 seats in Saurashtra in 2017, Congress got 30, BJP got 23.
  • According to ABP vote share in Saurashtra is 43 percent BJP, 37 percent Congress, 17 percent vote share AAP, 3 percent others.
  • Seat wise BJP: 30-46, Congress: 8-12, AAP: 4-6, Others: 0-2
  • Central Gujarat vote share BJP- 55 percent, Congress - 29 percent, AAP - 11 percent, others - 5 percent vote share
  • According to ABP seats in central Gujarat BJP - 45-49, Congress - 11-15, AAP - 0-1. Another 0-2

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